Division 1 2020-2021 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Tychy	33	62	45.9	+16.1Outperforming ++	6	+8.7	+7.5	0:2 vs Arka Gdynia (+2.2)	2:1 vs Sandecja Nowy S. (-1.5)
2	Radomiak Radom	33	68	55.9	+12.1Outperforming ++	2	+5.5	+6.6	1:0 vs LKS Lodz (+2.0)	1:2 vs Chrobry Glogow (-2.0)
3	Leczna	33	56	45.0	+11.0Outperforming ++	8	+11.1	-0.1	2:0 vs LKS Lodz (+2.1)	0:1 vs Korona Kielce (-1.5)
4	Odra Opole	33	48	40.0	+8.0Outperforming ++	13	+6.3	+1.7	0:2 vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec (+2.1)	0:2 vs GKS Jastrzebie (-1.7)
5	Sandecja Nowy S.	33	44	40.5	+3.5Outperforming	12	+5.2	-1.7	2:1 vs LKS Lodz (+2.0)	1:4 vs Stomil Olsztyn (-1.5)
6	Termalica B-B.	17	30	27.8	+2.2Outperforming	19	0.0	+2.2	0:1 vs Radomiak Radom (+1.9)	3:1 vs R. Rzeszow (-1.9)
7	Arka Gdynia	33	57	55.3	+1.7On expectation	3	-1.5	+3.3	1:2 vs LKS Lodz (+1.9)	1:2 vs GKS Belchatow (-2.1)
8	Termalica B	17	35	33.5	+1.5On expectation	18	+1.5	0.0	3:2 vs B.-Radomiak Radom (+1.5)	0:2 vs B.-Legnica (-1.8)
9	Chrobry Glogow	33	43	41.6	+1.4On expectation	10	0.0	+1.4	1:2 vs Radomiak Radom (+2.2)	0:1 vs GKS Belchatow (-1.9)
10	GKS Jastrzebie	33	35	34.5	+0.5On expectation	17	+1.1	-0.7	0:2 vs Odra Opole (+2.0)	1:2 vs Puszcza (-1.3)
11	Legnica	33	48	48.9	-0.9On expectation	5	-1.8	+0.8	3:4 vs LKS Lodz (+2.2)	1:0 vs GKS Belchatow (-1.6)
12	LKS Lodz	33	58	60.4	-2.4Underperforming	1	-1.0	-1.4	3:2 vs Termalica B-B. (+1.8)	0:3 vs Tychy (-2.0)
13	Stomil Olsztyn	33	34	36.4	-2.4Underperforming	15	-4.7	+2.3	1:3 vs Korona Kielce (+2.0)	0:1 vs GKS Jastrzebie (-1.6)
14	Puszcza	33	37	40.6	-3.6Underperforming	11	0.0	-3.6	4:0 vs Arka Gdynia (+1.8)	0:3 vs R. Rzeszow (-1.7)
15	Widzew Lodz	33	46	49.7	-3.7Underperforming	4	+3.9	-7.7	2:1 vs Arka Gdynia (+1.7)	2:1 vs Tychy (-1.5)
16	Korona Kielce	33	41	44.8	-3.8Underperforming	9	-0.8	-3.0	1:3 vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec (+1.9)	0:2 vs Odra Opole (-1.8)
17	R. Rzeszow	33	32	38.6	-6.6Underperforming −−	14	+1.8	-8.4	3:1 vs Termalica B-B. (+2.2)	1:3 vs GKS Belchatow (-1.7)
18	GKS Belchatow	33	25	34.9	-9.9Underperforming −−	16	-8.7	-1.3	1:2 vs Arka Gdynia (+2.4)	1:2 vs Chrobry Glogow (-1.5)
19	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	33	30	45.6	-15.6Underperforming −−	7	-5.7	-9.9	1:2 vs R. Rzeszow (+1.9)	0:2 vs Odra Opole (-1.8)