Super League 2 2022-2023 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	O.F. Ierapetra	27	45	33.0	+12.0Outperforming ++	20	+4.5	+7.4	0:2 vs PAE Egaleo (+2.2)	1:1 vs Rouf FC (-1.2)
2	PAE Chania	27	48	39.9	+8.2Outperforming ++	10	+4.0	+4.2	0:3 vs Kifisia (+2.5)	0:0 vs Irodotos (-1.7)
3	PAOK B	27	46	38.4	+7.7Outperforming ++	12	+1.7	+5.9	1:2 vs Karditsa (+2.2)	0:1 vs Almopos (-2.1)
4	Athens Kallithea	25	56	49.3	+6.7Outperforming ++	5	+8.1	-1.4	2:1 vs Kalamata (+1.6)	5:4 vs Olympiacos Piraeus B (-2.1)
5	Panserraikos	26	58	52.5	+5.5Outperforming ++	2	+3.7	+1.8	2:1 vs AEL Larissa (+1.6)	2:0 vs Iraklis Larissa (-2.2)
6	Apollon Smyrnis	28	56	51.0	+5.0Outperforming ++	4	+0.4	+4.6	2:3 vs Kifisia (+2.3)	2:4 vs Ilioupoli (-2.1)
7	Olympiacos Piraeus B	25	41	36.6	+4.4Outperforming	17	+6.4	-2.0	5:4 vs Athens Kallithea (+2.4)	0:1 vs Ilioupoli (-1.8)
8	Niki Volos	27	49	45.3	+3.7Outperforming	7	+3.3	+0.4	1:2 vs Diagoras (+1.8)	2:0 vs Makedonikos (-1.6)
9	AEL Larissa	27	55	51.4	+3.6Outperforming	3	+2.2	+1.5	1:2 vs Niki Volos (+1.7)	2:1 vs Panathinaikos B (-2.1)
10	Ilioupoli	28	41	37.8	+3.2Outperforming	14	-1.3	+4.5	0:1 vs Kalamata (+2.5)	2:3 vs O.F. Ierapetra (-2.0)
11	Kifisia	25	57	53.9	+3.1Outperforming	1	-2.8	+5.9	2:0 vs Athens Kallithea (+1.5)	0:3 vs PAE Chania (-2.3)
12	Almopos	27	33	30.0	+3.0Outperforming	23	-0.4	+3.4	0:1 vs PAOK B (+2.3)	1:0 vs Makedonikos (-1.1)
13	Iraklis 1908	26	47	45.0	+2.0Outperforming	8	-1.3	+3.4	0:2 vs AEL Larissa (+2.2)	2:3 vs Panathinaikos B (-2.2)
14	Karditsa	27	44	43.1	+0.8On expectation	9	+3.8	-2.9	0:1 vs AEL Larissa (+2.3)	1:2 vs PAOK B (-1.9)
15	Panachaiki	27	39	38.7	+0.3On expectation	11	-0.8	+1.1	0:2 vs PAE Egaleo (+2.5)	0:1 vs Proodeftiki (-1.5)
16	Apollon Larissa	12	10	9.7	+0.3On expectation	30	-2.1	+2.4	1:2 vs Veria (+2.8)	1:4 vs Niki Volos (-1.3)
17	Kalamaria	27	29	29.1	-0.1On expectation	24	-5.1	+5.0	1:2 vs Makedonikos (+2.2)	0:1 vs Apollon Larissa (-2.1)
18	Iraklis Larissa	27	23	23.8	-0.8On expectation	25	+0.3	-1.1	2:0 vs Panserraikos (+2.4)	0:1 vs Diagoras (-1.5)
19	Diagoras	27	30	31.8	-1.8On expectation	21	-4.7	+3.0	1:0 vs AEL Larissa (+2.3)	2:3 vs Thesprotos (-2.3)
20	Kalamata	27	44	46.7	-2.7Underperforming	6	-9.0	+6.3	0:2 vs Apollon Smyrnis (+2.0)	0:1 vs AEK Athens FC B (-2.4)
21	Panathinaikos B	27	30	33.3	-3.3Underperforming	18	-3.0	-0.3	2:3 vs Iraklis 1908 (+2.4)	1:0 vs Iraklis Larissa (-1.7)
22	AEK Athens FC B	27	26	31.0	-5.0Underperforming	22	-2.5	-2.5	0:1 vs Kalamata (+2.5)	1:0 vs Episkopi (-1.7)
23	Thesprotos	27	17	22.1	-5.1Underperforming −−	26	-6.0	+0.9	2:3 vs Diagoras (+2.5)	0:5 vs Almopos (-1.4)
24	PAE Egaleo	27	31	36.7	-5.7Underperforming −−	16	-9.6	+4.0	0:2 vs Kalamata (+1.9)	0:2 vs Panachaiki (-2.3)
25	Episkopi	25	13	18.8	-5.8Underperforming −−	27	-6.9	+1.1	2:3 vs PAE Egaleo (+2.4)	2:3 vs Rouf FC (-1.9)
26	Irodotos	15	4	10.9	-6.9Underperforming −−	29	-7.7	+0.8	1:2 vs Rouf FC (+1.9)	0:1 vs Episkopi (-1.5)
27	Proodeftiki	27	26	33.1	-7.1Underperforming −−	19	-8.3	+1.1	0:1 vs Panachaiki (+1.8)	1:2 vs O.F. Ierapetra (-1.9)
28	Rouf FC	26	6	13.8	-7.8Underperforming −−	28	-5.8	-1.9	2:3 vs Episkopi (+2.2)	1:2 vs Irodotos (-1.6)
29	Makedonikos	27	30	38.1	-8.1Underperforming −−	13	+0.3	-8.3	1:2 vs Veria (+2.2)	1:2 vs Kalamaria (-1.9)
30	Veria	27	28	37.4	-9.3Underperforming −−	15	-6.4	-2.9	0:1 vs Makedonikos (+2.1)	1:2 vs Apollon Larissa (-2.6)