Nationalhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Niort | 34 | 58 | 47.9 | +10.1Outperforming ++ | 8 | +11.0 | -0.9 | 2:3 vs GOAL FC (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Martigues (-1.5) |
2 | Martigues | 34 | 59 | 53.6 | +5.4Outperforming ++ | 2 | +8.6 | -3.1 | 1:3 vs Niort (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Marignane GCB (-1.8) |
3 | Red Star | 34 | 65 | 59.9 | +5.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | +7.5 | -2.4 | 1:2 vs Le Mans (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Dijon (-2.0) |
4 | Nancy | 34 | 51 | 45.9 | +5.1Outperforming ++ | 12 | +4.7 | +0.4 | 1:3 vs Le Mans (+2.0) | 3:6 vs Le Mans (-1.5) |
5 | Rouen | 34 | 54 | 50.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 5 | +2.9 | +0.7 | 0:1 vs Le Mans (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Versailles (-1.8) |
6 | Dijon | 34 | 54 | 51.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 3 | +6.6 | -3.8 | 0:2 vs Red Star (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Cholet (-2.0) |
7 | Le Mans | 34 | 52 | 50.6 | +1.4On expectation | 4 | -7.6 | +9.0 | 1:2 vs Chateauroux (+1.8) | 3:4 vs Avranches (-2.1) |
8 | Marignane GCB | 34 | 37 | 35.8 | +1.2On expectation | 17 | +5.5 | -4.3 | 1:0 vs Martigues (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Niort (-1.4) |
9 | Nimes | 34 | 44 | 43.0 | +1.1On expectation | 14 | +1.9 | -0.9 | 0:1 vs Orleans (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Epinal (-2.0) |
10 | Versailles | 34 | 47 | 46.7 | +0.3On expectation | 10 | -4.8 | +5.1 | 1:2 vs Red Star (+2.1) | 2:0 vs Marignane GCB (-1.6) |
11 | Avranches | 34 | 38 | 38.4 | -0.4On expectation | 15 | +1.8 | -2.2 | 3:4 vs Le Mans (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Epinal (-1.5) |
12 | Sochaux | 34 | 48 | 48.8 | -0.8On expectation | 7 | -0.5 | -0.3 | 1:2 vs Martigues (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Epinal (-2.1) |
13 | Epinal | 34 | 33 | 35.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 18 | -4.2 | +1.7 | 0:1 vs Sochaux (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Marignane GCB (-1.5) |
14 | Chateauroux | 34 | 42 | 46.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 11 | -3.8 | -0.5 | 0:2 vs Sochaux (+1.9) | 1:4 vs Epinal (-2.0) |
15 | Cholet | 34 | 32 | 37.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 16 | -3.9 | -1.6 | 1:2 vs Orleans (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Marignane GCB (-1.7) |
16 | Orleans | 34 | 44 | 49.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 6 | 0.0 | -5.6 | 0:1 vs Le Mans (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Cholet (-2.0) |
17 | GOAL FC | 34 | 38 | 43.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 13 | +0.0 | -5.8 | 3:1 vs Red Star (+2.0) | 3:4 vs Cholet (-1.9) |
18 | Villefranche | 34 | 41 | 46.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 9 | -1.8 | -4.0 | 0:1 vs Versailles (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Avranches (-1.9) |
