National 2020-2021 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Bastia	33	66	55.4	+10.6Outperforming ++	1	+2.4	+8.2	1:2 vs Boulogne (+1.9)	0:1 vs Avranches (-1.9)
2	Quevilly Rouen	33	55	44.4	+10.6Outperforming ++	8	+3.0	+7.6	0:1 vs Villefranche (+2.1)	1:2 vs Cholet (-1.6)
3	Villefranche	33	54	49.5	+4.5Outperforming	4	-0.6	+5.1	0:2 vs Red Star (+1.9)	0:1 vs Quevilly Rouen (-1.8)
4	Cholet	33	42	37.8	+4.2Outperforming	17	+4.8	-0.6	1:2 vs Boulogne (+2.2)	1:0 vs Creteil (-1.4)
5	Concarneau	33	45	42.6	+2.4Outperforming	11	+0.1	+2.3	0:1 vs Quevilly Rouen (+1.9)	0:1 vs Cholet (-1.4)
6	Le Mans	33	49	46.9	+2.1Outperforming	6	+5.1	-2.9	0:1 vs Villefranche (+1.8)	3:1 vs Concarneau (-1.4)
7	La Duchere-Annecy	1	3	1.1	+1.9On expectation	33	0.0	+1.9	0:3 vs Lyon (+1.9)	0:3 vs Lyon (1.9)
8	La Duchere-Le Mans	1	3	1.3	+1.7On expectation	26	0.0	+1.7	1:3 vs Lyon (+1.7)	1:3 vs Lyon (1.7)
9	La Duchere-Concarneau	1	3	1.3	+1.7On expectation	27	0.0	+1.7	1:2 vs Lyon (+1.7)	1:2 vs Lyon (1.7)
10	La Duchere-Borgo	1	3	1.3	+1.7On expectation	25	0.0	+1.7	1:2 vs Lyon (+1.7)	1:2 vs Lyon (1.7)
11	La Duchere-Quevilly Rouen	1	3	1.3	+1.7On expectation	24	0.0	+1.7	0:3 vs Lyon (+1.7)	0:3 vs Lyon (1.7)
12	La Duchere-Orleans	1	3	1.4	+1.6On expectation	22	0.0	+1.6	1:3 vs Lyon (+1.6)	1:3 vs Lyon (1.6)
13	Sete	33	42	41.0	+1.0On expectation	12	+4.3	-3.3	0:1 vs Villefranche (+2.0)	0:1 vs Stade Briochin (-1.5)
14	Avranches	33	40	39.7	+0.3On expectation	13	+1.6	-1.2	0:1 vs Bastia (+2.2)	1:3 vs Annecy (-1.7)
15	La Duchere-Creteil	1	1	1.0	0.0On expectation	36	0.0	0.0	0:0 vs Lyon (+0.0)	0:0 vs Lyon (0.0)
16	La Duchere-Sete	1	1	1.0	-0.0On expectation	35	0.0	-0.0	0:0 vs Lyon (+-0.0)	0:0 vs Lyon (-0.0)
17	La Duchere-Avranches	1	1	1.1	-0.1On expectation	34	0.0	-0.1	0:0 vs Lyon (+-0.1)	0:0 vs Lyon (-0.1)
18	La Duchere-Cholet	1	1	1.2	-0.2On expectation	32	0.0	-0.2	0:0 vs Lyon (+-0.2)	0:0 vs Lyon (-0.2)
19	La Duchere-Laval	1	1	1.2	-0.2On expectation	31	0.0	-0.2	1:1 vs Lyon (+-0.2)	1:1 vs Lyon (-0.2)
20	La Duchere-Stade Briochin	1	1	1.3	-0.3On expectation	29	0.0	-0.3	1:1 vs Lyon (+-0.3)	1:1 vs Lyon (-0.3)
21	La Duchere-Villefranche	1	1	1.4	-0.4On expectation	23	0.0	-0.4	2:2 vs Lyon (+-0.4)	2:2 vs Lyon (-0.4)
22	La Duchere-Boulogne	1	1	1.6	-0.6On expectation	20	0.0	-0.6	2:2 vs Lyon (+-0.6)	2:2 vs Lyon (-0.6)
23	Stade Briochin	33	42	43.2	-1.2On expectation	10	+2.5	-3.7	0:1 vs Red Star (+2.0)	0:1 vs Cholet (-1.8)
24	La Duchere-Bourg en Bresse	1	0	1.3	-1.3On expectation	30	0.0	-1.3	2:1 vs Lyon (+-1.3)	2:1 vs Lyon (-1.3)
25	La Duchere-Bastia	1	0	1.3	-1.3On expectation	28	0.0	-1.3	2:0 vs Lyon (+-1.3)	2:0 vs Lyon (-1.3)
26	Annecy	33	37	38.4	-1.4On expectation	16	+1.0	-2.4	0:1 vs Bastia (+2.1)	2:4 vs Concarneau (-1.4)
27	La Duchere-Red Star	1	0	1.6	-1.6On expectation	21	0.0	-1.6	2:1 vs Lyon (+-1.6)	2:1 vs Lyon (-1.6)
28	Bourg en Bresse	33	43	45.2	-2.2Underperforming	7	+0.6	-2.8	1:3 vs Orleans (+1.9)	0:1 vs Lyon - La Duchere (-1.6)
29	Laval	33	41	44.1	-3.1Underperforming	9	-1.6	-1.5	0:1 vs Orleans (+1.8)	1:3 vs Avranches (-1.7)
30	Orleans	33	44	47.6	-3.6Underperforming	5	+1.7	-5.3	2:1 vs Bastia (+1.8)	2:0 vs Annecy (-1.7)
31	Red Star	33	47	50.7	-3.7Underperforming	2	-0.5	-3.2	0:4 vs Bourg en Bresse (+1.7)	1:0 vs Avranches (-1.7)
32	Creteil	33	34	39.7	-5.7Underperforming −−	14	+3.3	-9.0	2:0 vs Bastia (+1.9)	1:2 vs Avranches (-1.5)
33	Lyon - La Duchere	17	14	20.8	-6.8Underperforming −−	19	0.0	-6.8	0:1 vs Bourg en Bresse (+1.9)	3:1 vs Sete (-1.5)
34	Lyon	17	17	23.9	-7.0Underperforming −−	18	-7.0	0.0	2:1 vs La Duchere-Red Star (+1.9)	0:3 vs La Duchere-Annecy (-1.5)
35	Borgo	33	32	39.6	-7.6Underperforming −−	15	+1.0	-8.6	3:1 vs Red Star (+2.0)	0:1 vs Villefranche (-1.5)
36	Boulogne	33	37	50.0	-13.0Underperforming −−	3	-7.3	-5.7	0:1 vs Bastia (+1.9)	1:2 vs Cholet (-2.0)