National 2022-2023 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Martigues	32	58	46.7	+11.3Outperforming ++	5	+8.6	+2.7	1:2 vs Bourg en Bresse (+1.9)	3:0 vs Borgo (-2.4)
2	Dunkerque	32	56	46.5	+9.5Outperforming ++	7	+3.3	+6.2	0:1 vs Concarneau (+2.1)	1:3 vs Sedan (-1.8)
3	Concarneau	32	62	54.2	+7.8Outperforming ++	1	+2.1	+5.7	1:4 vs Red Star (+1.9)	0:1 vs Sedan (-1.9)
4	Avranches	32	42	36.0	+6.0Outperforming ++	16	+2.5	+3.6	1:2 vs Red Star (+2.4)	0:1 vs Sedan (-1.3)
5	Sedan	32	45	39.8	+5.3Outperforming ++	13	-1.7	+7.0	0:1 vs Concarneau (+2.2)	0:1 vs Avranches (-1.5)
6	Cholet	32	41	37.4	+3.6Outperforming	14	+3.3	+0.3	1:2 vs Red Star (+2.2)	1:2 vs Sedan (-1.5)
7	Red Star	32	57	53.4	+3.6Outperforming	2	-2.3	+5.9	1:4 vs Nancy (+1.7)	1:2 vs Avranches (-2.1)
8	Versailles	32	50	46.4	+3.6Outperforming	8	+3.0	+0.6	0:1 vs Chateauroux (+1.9)	0:1 vs Stade Briochin (-1.9)
9	en-Velay	17	18	15.5	+2.5Outperforming	19	0.0	+2.5	2:3 vs Red Star-Le Puy (+2.3)	1:0 vs Borgo-Le Puy (-1.3)
10	Velay-Chateauroux	1	3	1.4	+1.6On expectation	49	0.0	+1.6	1:2 vs Le Puy-en (+1.6)	1:2 vs Le Puy-en (1.6)
11	Borgo-Le Puy	1	3	1.4	+1.6On expectation	47	+1.6	0.0	1:0 vs en-Velay (+1.6)	1:0 vs en-Velay (1.6)
12	Cholet-Le Puy	1	3	1.4	+1.6On expectation	46	+1.6	0.0	2:0 vs en-Velay (+1.6)	2:0 vs en-Velay (1.6)
13	Velay-Le Mans	1	3	1.5	+1.5On expectation	43	0.0	+1.5	2:4 vs Le Puy-en (+1.5)	2:4 vs Le Puy-en (1.5)
14	Velay-Orleans	1	3	1.5	+1.5On expectation	42	0.0	+1.5	0:1 vs Le Puy-en (+1.5)	0:1 vs Le Puy-en (1.5)
15	Velay-Dunkerque	1	3	1.6	+1.4On expectation	39	0.0	+1.4	0:1 vs Le Puy-en (+1.4)	0:1 vs Le Puy-en (1.4)
16	Bourg en Bresse-Le Puy	1	3	1.6	+1.4On expectation	37	+1.4	0.0	2:0 vs en-Velay (+1.4)	2:0 vs en-Velay (1.4)
17	Avranches-Le Puy	1	3	1.6	+1.4On expectation	36	+1.4	0.0	3:1 vs en-Velay (+1.4)	3:1 vs en-Velay (1.4)
18	Velay-Bourg en Bresse	1	3	1.6	+1.4On expectation	34	0.0	+1.4	0:2 vs Le Puy-en (+1.4)	0:2 vs Le Puy-en (1.4)
19	Velay-Red Star	1	3	1.8	+1.3On expectation	31	0.0	+1.3	0:2 vs Le Puy-en (+1.2)	0:2 vs Le Puy-en (1.2)
20	Chateauroux-Le Puy	1	3	1.9	+1.1On expectation	27	+1.1	0.0	4:1 vs en-Velay (+1.1)	4:1 vs en-Velay (1.1)
21	Dunkerque-Le Puy	1	3	2.0	+1.0On expectation	26	+1.0	0.0	1:0 vs en-Velay (+1.0)	1:0 vs en-Velay (1.0)
22	Le Mans-Le Puy	1	3	2.1	+0.9On expectation	23	+0.9	0.0	5:1 vs en-Velay (+0.9)	5:1 vs en-Velay (0.9)
23	Velay-Borgo	1	1	0.8	+0.2On expectation	53	0.0	+0.2	2:2 vs Le Puy-en (+0.2)	2:2 vs Le Puy-en (0.2)
24	Velay-Avranches	1	1	1.1	-0.1On expectation	52	0.0	-0.1	1:1 vs Le Puy-en (+-0.1)	1:1 vs Le Puy-en (-0.1)
25	Velay-Paris 13 Atl.	1	1	1.2	-0.2On expectation	51	0.0	-0.2	1:1 vs Le Puy-en (+-0.2)	1:1 vs Le Puy-en (-0.2)
26	Velay-Stade Briochin	1	1	1.4	-0.4On expectation	48	0.0	-0.4	0:0 vs Le Puy-en (+-0.4)	0:0 vs Le Puy-en (-0.4)
27	Velay-Cholet	1	1	1.4	-0.5On expectation	44	0.0	-0.5	1:1 vs Le Puy-en (+-0.4)	1:1 vs Le Puy-en (-0.4)
28	Velay-Villefranche	1	1	1.5	-0.5On expectation	41	0.0	-0.5	1:1 vs Le Puy-en (+-0.5)	1:1 vs Le Puy-en (-0.5)
29	Velay-Nancy	1	1	1.6	-0.6On expectation	40	0.0	-0.6	1:1 vs Le Puy-en (+-0.5)	1:1 vs Le Puy-en (-0.5)
30	Velay-Martigues	1	1	1.6	-0.6On expectation	38	0.0	-0.6	2:2 vs Le Puy-en (+-0.6)	2:2 vs Le Puy-en (-0.6)
31	Sedan-Le Puy	1	1	1.6	-0.6On expectation	35	-0.6	0.0	0:0 vs en-Velay (+-0.6)	0:0 vs en-Velay (-0.6)
32	Paris 13 Atl.-Le Puy	1	1	1.7	-0.7On expectation	32	-0.7	0.0	1:1 vs en-Velay (+-0.7)	1:1 vs en-Velay (-0.7)
33	Villefranche-Le Puy	1	1	1.8	-0.8On expectation	30	-0.8	0.0	1:1 vs en-Velay (+-0.8)	1:1 vs en-Velay (-0.8)
34	Martigues-Le Puy	1	1	1.9	-0.9On expectation	29	-0.9	0.0	1:1 vs en-Velay (+-0.9)	1:1 vs en-Velay (-0.9)
35	Versailles-Le Puy	1	1	2.0	-1.0On expectation	25	-1.0	0.0	1:1 vs en-Velay (+-1.0)	1:1 vs en-Velay (-1.0)
36	Concarneau-Le Puy	1	1	2.2	-1.2On expectation	20	-1.2	0.0	0:0 vs en-Velay (+-1.2)	0:0 vs en-Velay (-1.2)
37	Velay-Sedan	1	0	1.3	-1.3On expectation	50	0.0	-1.3	3:2 vs Le Puy-en (+-1.3)	3:2 vs Le Puy-en (-1.3)
38	Velay-Versailles	1	0	1.4	-1.4On expectation	45	0.0	-1.4	2:0 vs Le Puy-en (+-1.5)	2:0 vs Le Puy-en (-1.5)
39	Villefranche	32	44	45.5	-1.5On expectation	9	+1.6	-3.1	1:5 vs Chateauroux (+2.0)	0:2 vs Dunkerque (-1.6)
40	Stade Briochin-Le Puy	1	0	1.7	-1.7On expectation	33	-1.7	0.0	0:1 vs en-Velay (+-1.7)	0:1 vs en-Velay (-1.7)
41	Orleans	32	41	42.8	-1.8On expectation	11	-4.3	+2.5	0:3 vs Concarneau (+2.0)	1:3 vs Stade Briochin (-1.6)
42	Orleans-Le Puy	1	0	1.9	-1.9On expectation	28	-1.9	0.0	1:2 vs en-Velay (+-1.9)	1:2 vs en-Velay (-1.9)
43	Velay-Concarneau	1	0	2.1	-2.1Underperforming	24	0.0	-2.1	2:1 vs Le Puy-en (+-2.1)	2:1 vs Le Puy-en (-2.1)
44	Nancy-Le Puy	1	0	2.1	-2.1Underperforming	22	-2.1	0.0	1:2 vs en-Velay (+-2.1)	1:2 vs en-Velay (-2.1)
45	Red Star-Le Puy	1	0	2.1	-2.1Underperforming	21	-2.1	0.0	2:3 vs en-Velay (+-2.1)	2:3 vs en-Velay (-2.1)
46	Stade Briochin	32	37	40.4	-3.4Underperforming	12	-3.0	-0.4	0:1 vs Versailles (+2.2)	0:1 vs Avranches (-1.7)
47	Le Puy-en	17	17	21.3	-4.3Underperforming	18	-4.3	0.0	2:1 vs Velay-Concarneau (+2.3)	1:2 vs Velay-Chateauroux (-1.3)
48	Borgo	32	22	26.9	-4.9Underperforming	17	-0.2	-4.7	3:0 vs Martigues (+2.5)	0:5 vs Avranches (-1.5)
49	Nancy	32	41	47.0	-6.0Underperforming −−	4	-3.1	-2.9	1:2 vs Concarneau (+2.0)	1:0 vs Avranches (-1.8)
50	Paris 13 Atl.	32	29	37.3	-8.3Underperforming −−	15	-3.8	-4.5	0:2 vs Bourg en Bresse (+2.1)	1:3 vs Cholet (-1.6)
51	Chateauroux	32	38	47.2	-9.2Underperforming −−	3	-7.1	-2.0	0:1 vs Nancy (+1.8)	0:1 vs Borgo (-2.1)
52	Le Mans	32	37	46.6	-9.6Underperforming −−	6	-0.1	-9.4	0:3 vs Chateauroux (+1.8)	0:1 vs Nancy (-1.7)
53	Bourg en Bresse	32	34	45.1	-11.1Underperforming −−	10	-8.1	-3.0	0:1 vs Red Star (+1.8)	1:3 vs Sedan (-1.9)