Nordic United vs Landskrona
Superettan, Sweden · 2026-09-19 · 13:00 CET
DLLWL
LWWWLThe score model made a Nordic United win the most likely outcome at 41%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 53%). It finished 1:4 (HT 0:2) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Nordic United 1.50 – 1.31 Landskrona.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordic United win | 41.1% | 39.2% | +1.9% | ✗ |
| Draw | 26.1% | 27.0% | -0.9% | ✗ |
| Landskrona win | 32.8% | 33.8% | -1.0% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.6% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.3% | 55.3% | -2.0% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.1% | 34.3% | -3.3% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 57.3% | 59.8% | -2.6% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 67.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 32.3% | 36.7% | -4.4% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Nordic United 20.5 / Landskrona 44.4 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Nordic United vs Landskrona in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.