Halmstad vs Djurgarden
Allsvenskan, Sweden · 2026-11-08 · 14:00 CET
WLLWL
WWDDWThe score model makes a Djurgarden win the most likely outcome at 67%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 54%). No market here diverges from the data by more than 2 points. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Halmstad 0.78 – 2.07 Djurgarden.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstad win | 13.0% | 13.3% | -0.4% |
| Draw | 19.7% | 19.5% | +0.3% |
| Djurgarden win | 67.3% | 67.2% | +0.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.1% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.8% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 47.2% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 71.8% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 36.0% | — | — |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Halmstad 42.7 / Djurgarden 44 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Halmstad vs Djurgarden in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.