AIK vs Hacken
Allsvenskan, Sweden · 2026-11-08 · 16:30 CET
LLDWD
WWWDWThe score model makes a Hacken win the most likely outcome at 50%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 67%). No market here diverges from the data by more than 2 points. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: AIK 1.48 – 1.99 Hacken.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| AIK win | 28.7% | 27.4% | +1.3% |
| Draw | 21.7% | 23.9% | -2.1% |
| Hacken win | 49.6% | 48.7% | +0.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.2% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.5% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.8% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 66.8% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 78.6% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 45.7% | — | — |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: AIK 42.8 / Hacken 43.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open AIK vs Hacken in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.