Brommapojkarna vs Goteborg
Allsvenskan, Sweden · 2026-09-19 · 15:00 CET
LLWLW
WWWWDThe score model made a Brommapojkarna win the most likely outcome at 43%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 58%). It finished 0:1 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Brommapojkarna 1.63 – 1.39 Goteborg.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brommapojkarna win | 42.9% | 34.8% | +8.1% | ✗ |
| Draw | 24.8% | 26.5% | -1.7% | ✗ |
| Goteborg win | 32.4% | 38.8% | -6.4% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.8% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.2% | 56.6% | +1.6% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.8% | 35.8% | +0.0% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 60.8% | 59.8% | +1.0% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 70.2% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 36.1% | 38.0% | -2.0% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Brommapojkarna 41.2 / Goteborg 41.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Brommapojkarna vs Goteborg in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.