Norrkoping W vs AIK W
Allsvenskan Women, Sweden · 2026-11-15 · 14:00 CET
DWWDW
LLWWWThe score model makes an AIK W win the most likely outcome at 40%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 51%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Norrkoping W win — 36.1% vs 31.2% implied (+4.9 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Norrkoping W 1.31 – 1.40 AIK W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norrkoping W win | 36.1% | 31.2% | +4.9% |
| Draw | 23.9% | 25.4% | -1.6% |
| AIK W win | 40.1% | 43.4% | -3.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.3% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.8% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.8% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 54.0% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 70.5% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 34.4% | — | — |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Norrkoping W 39 / AIK W 36.4 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Norrkoping W vs AIK W in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.