IF Brommapojkarna W vs Rosengard W
Allsvenskan Women, Sweden · 2026-11-15 · 14:00 CET
LWLLL
LWLDLThe score model makes a Rosengard W win the most likely outcome at 46%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 52%). The data's biggest gap to the market: IF Brommapojkarna W win — 30.9% vs 27.4% implied (+3.5 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: IF Brommapojkarna W 1.21 – 1.53 Rosengard W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| IF Brommapojkarna W win | 30.9% | 27.4% | +3.5% |
| Draw | 23.4% | 26.1% | -2.8% |
| Rosengard W win | 45.7% | 46.5% | -0.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.9% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.6% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.5% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 54.0% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 69.8% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 33.6% | — | — |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: IF Brommapojkarna W 39 / Rosengard W 38.9 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open IF Brommapojkarna W vs Rosengard W in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.