Kristianstad W vs Eskilstuna Utd W
Allsvenskan Women, Sweden · 2026-11-07 · 13:00 CET
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LLLWWThe score model makes a Kristianstad W win the most likely outcome at 55%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 50%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Kristianstad W win — 55.2% vs 52.9% implied (+2.3 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Kristianstad W 1.69 – 0.97 Eskilstuna Utd W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kristianstad W win | 55.2% | 52.9% | +2.3% |
| Draw | 22.1% | 24.3% | -2.2% |
| Eskilstuna Utd W win | 22.6% | 22.8% | -0.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.4% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.6% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.7% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 49.6% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 69.3% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 33.0% | — | — |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Kristianstad W 38.4 / Eskilstuna Utd W 19.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Kristianstad W vs Eskilstuna Utd W in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.