Djurgarden W vs Hacken W
Allsvenskan Women, Sweden · 2026-11-06 · 18:00 CET
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WWWWWThe score model makes a Hacken W win the most likely outcome at 80%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 66%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Hacken W win — 79.6% vs 68.3% implied (+11.3 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Djurgarden W 0.70 – 2.68 Hacken W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgarden W win | 7.9% | 12.9% | -5.0% |
| Draw | 12.4% | 18.8% | -6.3% |
| Hacken W win | 79.6% | 68.3% | +11.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.5% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.6% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.7% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 46.4% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 79.5% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 47.0% | — | — |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Djurgarden W 38.5 / Hacken W 38.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Djurgarden W vs Hacken W in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.