Rosengard W vs Pitea W
Allsvenskan Women, Sweden · 2026-09-27 · 13:00 CET
WLWLD
LDLWLThe score model made a Rosengard W win the most likely outcome at 53%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 44%). It finished 1:0 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Rosengard W 1.55 – 0.91 Pitea W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosengard W win | 53.4% | 46.6% | +6.8% | ✓ |
| Draw | 23.4% | 26.5% | -3.0% | ✗ |
| Pitea W win | 23.1% | 26.9% | -3.8% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.2% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.4% | 51.6% | -7.2% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.3% | 31.7% | -8.4% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 45.8% | 54.7% | -8.9% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 69.9% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 31.8% | 35.6% | -3.8% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Rosengard W 36.5 / Pitea W 36.5 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Rosengard W vs Pitea W in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.