Coruxo FC vs Llanera
Segunda Division B - Group 1, Spain · 2026-11-15 · 17:00 CET
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WLLLWThe score model makes a Coruxo FC win the most likely outcome at 54%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 52%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Coruxo FC win — 53.9% vs 45.2% implied (+8.7 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Coruxo FC 1.74 – 1.02 Llanera.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coruxo FC win | 53.9% | 45.2% | +8.7% |
| Draw | 24.5% | 27.4% | -2.9% |
| Llanera win | 21.7% | 27.5% | -5.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.7% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.2% | 50.0% | +2.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.0% | 30.2% | -0.2% |
| Both teams to score | 53.2% | 54.1% | -0.8% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 70.6% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 34.6% | 35.0% | -0.4% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Coruxo FC 44.4 / Llanera 18.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Coruxo FC vs Llanera in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.