Oviedo B vs Coruxo FC
Segunda Division B - Group 1, Spain · 2026-11-08 · 11:30 CET
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LLWLLThe score model makes an Oviedo B win the most likely outcome at 41%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 44%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Coruxo FC win — 31.3% vs 24.4% implied (+6.9 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Oviedo B 1.31 – 1.11 Coruxo FC.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oviedo B win | 40.6% | 47.9% | -7.3% |
| Draw | 28.2% | 27.7% | +0.5% |
| Coruxo FC win | 31.3% | 24.4% | +6.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.0% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.5% | 45.5% | -1.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.5% | 26.3% | -3.8% |
| Both teams to score | 49.4% | 49.9% | -0.5% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 66.7% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 30.1% | 32.1% | -2.1% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Oviedo B 34.4 / Coruxo FC 44 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Oviedo B vs Coruxo FC in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.