Oviedo B vs Torrelavega
Segunda Division B - Group 1, Spain · 2026-09-27 · 12:00 CET
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LDLLLThe score model made an Oviedo B win the most likely outcome at 50%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 46%). It finished 3:3 (HT 1:2) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Oviedo B 1.54 – 0.97 Torrelavega.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oviedo B win | 50.4% | 50.4% | -0.0% | ✗ |
| Draw | 25.6% | 27.2% | -1.6% | ✓ |
| Torrelavega win | 24.0% | 22.4% | +1.7% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.4% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.9% | 46.7% | -0.8% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.5% | 27.6% | -3.1% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 48.8% | 49.4% | -0.6% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 64.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 28.6% | 32.1% | -3.5% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Oviedo B 31.1 / Torrelavega 20.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Oviedo B vs Torrelavega in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.