Seoul E-Land vs Jeonnam
K League 2, South-Korea · 2026-11-07 · 08:30 CET
LWWWL
DLWLLThe score model makes a Seoul E-Land win the most likely outcome at 69%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 68%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Seoul E-Land win — 69.2% vs 64.6% implied (+4.6 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Seoul E-Land 2.48 – 1.01 Jeonnam.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seoul E-Land win | 69.2% | 64.6% | +4.6% |
| Draw | 17.6% | 19.1% | -1.4% |
| Jeonnam win | 13.2% | 16.3% | -3.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.8% | 63.6% | +4.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46.2% | 43.5% | +2.7% |
| Both teams to score | 58.6% | 57.6% | +1.1% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 77.9% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 44.5% | 43.0% | +1.5% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Seoul E-Land 49.5 / Jeonnam 49.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Seoul E-Land vs Jeonnam in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.