Gimpo FC vs Ansan Greeners
K League 2, South-Korea · 2026-11-07 · 08:30 CET
WLWLL
LLLWLThe score model makes a Gimpo FC win the most likely outcome at 54%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 51%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 71.3% vs 65.9% implied (+5.3 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Gimpo FC 1.71 – 1.00 Ansan Greeners.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gimpo FC win | 53.7% | 56.6% | -3.0% |
| Draw | 24.8% | 22.3% | +2.5% |
| Ansan Greeners win | 21.5% | 21.0% | +0.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.7% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.8% | 55.3% | -4.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.7% | 34.1% | -5.3% |
| Both teams to score | 52.1% | 54.1% | -1.9% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 70.3% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 34.2% | 37.0% | -2.8% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Gimpo FC 49.9 / Ansan Greeners 49.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Gimpo FC vs Ansan Greeners in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.