Anyang vs Bucheon FC 1995
K League 1, South-Korea · 2026-11-01 · 08:30 CET
DWWDD
DLLLLThe score model makes an Anyang win the most likely outcome at 44%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 46%). The data's biggest gap to the market: HT under 1.5 goals — 70.9% vs 65.4% implied (+5.6 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Anyang 1.45 – 1.08 Bucheon FC 1995.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anyang win | 44.4% | 50.3% | -5.8% |
| Draw | 28.9% | 26.3% | +2.6% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 win | 26.7% | 23.5% | +3.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.3% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.5% | 50.1% | -3.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.9% | 29.6% | -4.6% |
| Both teams to score | 51.9% | 53.2% | -1.3% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 62.1% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 29.1% | 34.6% | -5.6% |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Anyang 39.1 / Bucheon FC 1995 26.3 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Anyang vs Bucheon FC 1995 in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.