Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gimcheon Sangmu
K League 1, South-Korea · 2026-09-19 · 09:30 CET
DLLLL
DWLDLThe score model made a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely outcome at 39%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 44%). It finished 0:2 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Bucheon FC 1995 1.12 – 1.30 Gimcheon Sangmu.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucheon FC 1995 win | 30.6% | 31.2% | -0.6% | ✗ |
| Draw | 29.9% | 28.4% | +1.5% | ✗ |
| Gimcheon Sangmu win | 39.5% | 40.4% | -0.9% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.9% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.6% | 49.1% | -5.5% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.6% | 28.7% | -6.2% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 50.3% | 54.3% | -4.0% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 64.0% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 31.1% | 33.8% | -2.7% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Bucheon FC 1995 24.1 / Gimcheon Sangmu 44.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gimcheon Sangmu in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.