Bucheon FC 1995 vs Anyang
K League 1, South-Korea · 2026-07-22 · 14:30 CET
WLDLL
LWDLLThe score model made an Anyang win the most likely outcome at 42%, leaning under 2.5 (Over 2.5 at 28%). It finished 2:3 (HT 1:1) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Bucheon FC 1995 0.76 – 1.07 Anyang.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucheon FC 1995 win | 25.4% | — | — | ✗ |
| Draw | 32.6% | — | — | ✗ |
| Anyang win | 41.9% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 54.9% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27.7% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11.3% | — | — | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 35.3% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 56.8% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 21.1% | — | — | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Bucheon FC 1995 11.5 / Anyang 26.9 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.