Stirling vs Clyde
League Two, Scotland · 2026-09-19 · 16:00 CET
LDWWD
WDLWWThe score model made a Clyde win the most likely outcome at 47%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 64%). It finished 1:1 (HT 1:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Stirling 1.42 – 1.86 Clyde.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stirling win | 28.9% | 23.8% | +5.2% | ✗ |
| Draw | 23.8% | 22.9% | +1.0% | ✓ |
| Clyde win | 47.3% | 53.4% | -6.1% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.6% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.7% | 61.6% | +2.1% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.6% | 41.2% | +0.4% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 64.8% | 61.2% | +3.6% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 79.4% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 44.8% | 42.9% | +1.9% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Stirling 41.8 / Clyde 48.2 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Stirling vs Clyde in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.