Al Jabalain vs Al Orubah
Division 1, Saudi-Arabia · 2026-09-20 · 17:55 CET
DWDWW
DDWDDThe score model made an Al Jabalain win the most likely outcome at 37%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 39%). It finished 0:0 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Al Jabalain 1.17 – 1.08 Al Orubah.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jabalain win | 37.0% | 53.2% | -16.3% | ✗ |
| Draw | 30.7% | 26.3% | +4.4% | ✓ |
| Al Orubah win | 32.3% | 20.5% | +11.8% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66.9% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39.2% | 47.5% | -8.3% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19.1% | 27.4% | -8.2% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 46.7% | 49.5% | -2.8% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 57.3% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 21.1% | 33.3% | -12.1% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Al Jabalain 45.5 / Al Orubah 34.1 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Al Jabalain vs Al Orubah in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.