KFUM Oslo vs Kristiansund
Eliteserien, Norway · 2026-08-02 · 15:00
The score model makes a KFUM Oslo win the most likely outcome at 55%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 45%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: KFUM Oslo 1.61 – 0.87 Kristiansund.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| KFUM Oslo win | 55.1% | 55.4% | -0.3% |
| Draw | 24.3% | 24.6% | -0.3% |
| Kristiansund win | 20.6% | 20.0% | +0.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.5% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.0% | 55.3% | -10.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.7% | 34.6% | -10.9% |
| Both teams to score | 46.1% | 55.1% | -9.0% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 66.4% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 28.5% | 37.5% | -9.1% |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: KFUM Oslo 34.6 / Kristiansund 35.5 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.