Bodo/Glimt vs HamKam
Eliteserien, Norway · 2026-07-22 · 21:00 CET
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WDLDLThe score model made a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely outcome at 79%, leaning to goals (Over 2.5 at 73%). It finished 3:0 (HT 1:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Bodo/Glimt 2.94 – 0.86 HamKam.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt win | 79.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| Draw | 12.3% | — | — | ✗ |
| HamKam win | 8.2% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.1% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.1% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 52.7% | — | — | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 54.6% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 81.9% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 50.5% | — | — | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Bodo/Glimt 33.8 / HamKam 33.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.