FAR Rabat vs Difaa El Jadidi
Botola Pro, Morocco · 2026-11-08 · 19:00 CET
WDWDL
LWWDDThe score model makes an FAR Rabat win the most likely outcome at 64%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 51%). The data's biggest gap to the market: HT over 1.5 goals — 36.6% vs 33.9% implied (+2.7 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: FAR Rabat 1.96 – 0.77 Difaa El Jadidi.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAR Rabat win | 64.2% | 62.0% | +2.2% |
| Draw | 23.2% | 23.5% | -0.3% |
| Difaa El Jadidi win | 12.6% | 14.4% | -1.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.9% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.3% | 49.1% | +2.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.2% | 29.0% | +0.2% |
| Both teams to score | 47.3% | 45.9% | +1.3% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 72.2% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 36.6% | 33.9% | +2.7% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: FAR Rabat 39 / Difaa El Jadidi 35.2 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open FAR Rabat vs Difaa El Jadidi in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.