Moghreb Tetouan vs COD Meknes
Botola Pro, Morocco · 2026-11-07 · 21:00 CET
DDLLL
LDWWDThe score model makes a COD Meknes win the most likely outcome at 51%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 43%). The data's biggest gap to the market: COD Meknes win — 50.9% vs 43.8% implied (+7.1 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Moghreb Tetouan 0.88 – 1.52 COD Meknes.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moghreb Tetouan win | 20.2% | 24.8% | -4.6% |
| Draw | 28.9% | 31.5% | -2.5% |
| COD Meknes win | 50.9% | 43.8% | +7.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.7% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.0% | 36.7% | +6.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.1% | 19.6% | +2.5% |
| Both teams to score | 47.2% | 43.4% | +3.8% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 65.4% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 28.7% | 27.0% | +1.7% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Moghreb Tetouan 20.3 / COD Meknes 33.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Moghreb Tetouan vs COD Meknes in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.