Kawkab Marrakech vs Wydad
Botola Pro, Morocco · 2026-11-07 · 17:00 CET
WWWDW
WDWWWThe score model made a Wydad win the most likely outcome at 35%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 36%). It finished 2:1 (HT 2:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Kawkab Marrakech 1.03 – 1.10 Wydad.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawkab Marrakech win | 31.7% | 28.0% | +3.7% | ✓ |
| Draw | 33.1% | 34.6% | -1.5% | ✗ |
| Wydad win | 35.2% | 37.3% | -2.1% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35.9% | 34.6% | +1.3% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16.7% | 17.4% | -0.7% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 44.6% | 42.7% | +1.9% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 60.6% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 23.9% | 24.8% | -1.0% | ✓ |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Kawkab Marrakech 25.4 / Wydad 18.4 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Kawkab Marrakech vs Wydad in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.