Inter U20 vs Cagliari U20
Primavera 1, Italy · 2026-09-13 · 15:00 CET
WWWDD
WLDDLThe score model made an Inter U20 win the most likely outcome at 54%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 59%). It finished 6:1 (HT 4:1) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Inter U20 1.90 – 1.18 Cagliari U20.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter U20 win | 53.7% | — | — | ✓ |
| Draw | 23.1% | — | — | ✗ |
| Cagliari U20 win | 23.2% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.6% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.1% | — | — | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 59.3% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 74.7% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 43.6% | — | — | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Inter U20 39.6 / Cagliari U20 38.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Inter U20 vs Cagliari U20 in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.