Inter U20 vs Cagliari U20
Primavera 1, Italy · 2026-09-13 · 15:00 CET
WLWDW
DDWLWThe score model makes an Inter U20 win the most likely outcome at 54%, leaning to goals (Over 2.5 at 60%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Inter U20 1.92 – 1.18 Cagliari U20.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter U20 win | 54.1% | — | — |
| Draw | 23.1% | — | — |
| Cagliari U20 win | 22.9% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.9% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.8% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.5% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 59.5% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 74.8% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 43.9% | — | — |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Inter U20 40 / Cagliari U20 39.2 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.