AC Milan U20 vs Torino U20
Primavera 1, Italy · 2026-08-24 · 19:00 CET
LDWDW
WDLDLThe score model made an AC Milan U20 win the most likely outcome at 44%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 50%). It finished 3:2 (HT 1:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: AC Milan U20 1.50 – 1.16 Torino U20.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan U20 win | 44.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| Draw | 26.9% | — | — | ✗ |
| Torino U20 win | 28.6% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.1% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.8% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.8% | — | — | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 54.1% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 66.8% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 32.8% | — | — | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: AC Milan U20 37.2 / Torino U20 37.2 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.