Juventus U20 vs Parma U20
Primavera 1, Italy · 2026-08-22 · 16:45 CET
WWDDL
WDDWWThe score model made a Parma U20 win the most likely outcome at 39%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 48%). It finished 2:2 (HT 2:2) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Juventus U20 1.24 – 1.37 Parma U20.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus U20 win | 33.1% | — | — | ✗ |
| Draw | 27.8% | — | — | ✓ |
| Parma U20 win | 39.1% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.1% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 53.6% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 70.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 37.3% | — | — | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Juventus U20 37.4 / Parma U20 24.9 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.