Cobh Ramblers vs Athlone
Division 1, Ireland · 2026-09-25 · 20:45 CET
LDWLL
WDWLLThe score model made a Cobh Ramblers win the most likely outcome at 55%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 49%). It finished 3:3 (HT 1:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Cobh Ramblers 1.68 – 0.95 Athlone.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobh Ramblers win | 55.4% | 36.8% | +18.7% | ✗ |
| Draw | 22.7% | 26.9% | -4.2% | ✓ |
| Athlone win | 21.9% | 36.3% | -14.4% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.1% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.9% | 52.4% | -3.5% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.1% | 32.0% | -4.9% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 49.1% | 56.5% | -7.4% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 75.1% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 36.4% | 36.0% | +0.4% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Cobh Ramblers 52 / Athlone 52.1 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Cobh Ramblers vs Athlone in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.