Wexford vs Cobh Ramblers
Division 1, Ireland · 2026-09-18 · 20:45 CET
WLDDL
LDWLLThe score model made a Wexford win the most likely outcome at 38%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 49%). It finished 3:1 (HT 1:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Wexford 1.33 – 1.31 Cobh Ramblers.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wexford win | 38.2% | 40.6% | -2.4% | ✓ |
| Draw | 24.7% | 28.0% | -3.3% | ✗ |
| Cobh Ramblers win | 37.1% | 31.4% | +5.7% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.4% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.3% | 51.4% | -2.1% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.4% | 31.4% | -4.0% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 53.1% | 55.9% | -2.8% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 71.7% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 32.3% | 35.3% | -3.1% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Wexford 51.9 / Cobh Ramblers 51.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Wexford vs Cobh Ramblers in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.