Cobh Ramblers vs Treaty United
Division 1, Ireland · 2026-08-07 · 18:45
The score model makes a Cobh Ramblers win the most likely outcome at 52%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 48%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Cobh Ramblers 1.59 – 1.01 Treaty United.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cobh Ramblers win | 51.5% | 43.5% | +8.0% |
| Draw | 24.0% | 26.7% | -2.7% |
| Treaty United win | 24.5% | 29.8% | -5.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.7% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.1% | 52.9% | -4.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.3% | 32.1% | -5.7% |
| Both teams to score | 50.0% | 56.3% | -6.3% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 69.1% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 29.3% | 36.4% | -7.0% |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Cobh Ramblers 51.4 / Treaty United 51.4 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.