Cobh Ramblers vs Wexford
Division 1, Ireland · 2026-07-31 · 20:45 CET
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LLLWLThe score model made a Cobh Ramblers win the most likely outcome at 52%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 52%). It finished 1:0 (HT 1:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Cobh Ramblers 1.69 – 1.08 Wexford.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobh Ramblers win | 52.1% | 38.7% | +13.5% | ✓ |
| Draw | 23.3% | 26.9% | -3.6% | ✗ |
| Wexford win | 24.6% | 34.4% | -9.8% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.9% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.3% | 54.1% | -1.8% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.1% | 33.7% | -3.7% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 53.4% | 57.9% | -4.5% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 72.6% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 33.1% | 37.2% | -4.0% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Cobh Ramblers 49.9 / Wexford 50 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.