Odisha FC vs North East Utd
ISL, India · 2026-10-24 · 16:00 CET
WLDLD
WWWWWThe score model made a North East Utd win the most likely outcome at 39%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 63%). It finished 0:0 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Odisha FC 1.57 – 1.69 North East Utd.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odisha FC win | 34.0% | 27.3% | +6.6% | ✗ |
| Draw | 26.8% | 27.3% | -0.5% | ✓ |
| North East Utd win | 39.3% | 45.4% | -6.1% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.4% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.2% | 51.1% | +12.1% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.0% | 30.6% | +10.4% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 66.3% | 55.1% | +11.3% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 71.9% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 34.7% | 34.5% | +0.2% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Odisha FC 22 / North East Utd 21.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Odisha FC vs North East Utd in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.