Gyirmot vs Tiszakecske
Merkantil Bank Liga, Hungary · 2026-11-07 · 17:00 CET
LWWDD
DWWDLThe score model makes a Gyirmot win the most likely outcome at 44%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 56%). No market here diverges from the data by more than 2 points. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Gyirmot 1.58 – 1.34 Tiszakecske.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gyirmot win | 43.6% | 41.9% | +1.7% |
| Draw | 23.4% | 26.5% | -3.1% |
| Tiszakecske win | 33.1% | 31.6% | +1.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.2% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.8% | 54.2% | +1.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.4% | 34.0% | -0.6% |
| Both teams to score | 58.0% | 58.4% | -0.4% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 72.0% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 36.4% | 38.2% | -1.8% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Gyirmot 25.9 / Tiszakecske 34.3 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Gyirmot vs Tiszakecske in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.