Jeddeloh vs Norderstedt
Regionalliga North, Germany · 2026-09-26 · 15:00 CET
LLLWD
DLWLLThe score model made a Jeddeloh win the most likely outcome at 59%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 74%). It finished 0:4 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Jeddeloh 2.42 – 1.46 Norderstedt.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeddeloh win | 58.6% | 55.0% | +3.6% | ✗ |
| Draw | 19.5% | 21.4% | -1.9% | ✗ |
| Norderstedt win | 21.9% | 23.6% | -1.7% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.3% | 72.7% | +1.6% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 54.2% | 55.0% | -0.8% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 70.1% | 70.3% | -0.1% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 80.9% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 49.4% | 50.8% | -1.4% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Jeddeloh 47.5 / Norderstedt 46.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Jeddeloh vs Norderstedt in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.