Schoningen vs Drochtersen/Assel
Regionalliga North, Germany · 2026-09-25 · 19:30 CET
LDLLL
DWWLWThe score model made a Drochtersen/Assel win the most likely outcome at 60%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 70%). It finished 3:3 (HT 0:2) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Schoningen 1.28 – 2.32 Drochtersen/Assel.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schoningen win | 19.9% | 23.9% | -4.1% | ✗ |
| Draw | 19.9% | 22.1% | -2.2% | ✓ |
| Drochtersen/Assel win | 60.2% | 54.0% | +6.2% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.7% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.7% | 65.1% | +4.6% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48.5% | 45.4% | +3.1% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 65.5% | 64.3% | +1.1% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 75.6% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 41.5% | 44.7% | -3.3% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Schoningen 29.9 / Drochtersen/Assel 47 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Schoningen vs Drochtersen/Assel in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.