SC Weiche-08 vs Phonix Lubeck
Regionalliga North, Germany · 2026-09-19 · 14:00 CET
LWWWW
WWLWDThe score model made a Phonix Lubeck win the most likely outcome at 45%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 61%). It finished 1:2 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: SC Weiche-08 1.42 – 1.75 Phonix Lubeck.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Weiche-08 win | 30.9% | — | — | ✗ |
| Draw | 24.0% | — | — | ✗ |
| Phonix Lubeck win | 45.1% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.8% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.9% | — | — | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 62.9% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 75.4% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 41.3% | — | — | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: SC Weiche-08 47.4 / Phonix Lubeck 47 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open SC Weiche-08 vs Phonix Lubeck in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.