Jeddeloh vs Schoningen
Regionalliga North, Germany · 2026-08-01 · 15:00 CET
WLDLL
WWWDWThe score model made a Jeddeloh win the most likely outcome at 64%, leaning to goals (Over 2.5 at 81%). It finished 0:2 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Jeddeloh 2.82 – 1.55 Schoningen.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeddeloh win | 63.6% | 54.4% | +9.2% | ✗ |
| Draw | 17.5% | 22.0% | -4.5% | ✗ |
| Schoningen win | 18.9% | 23.5% | -4.7% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93.6% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 81.1% | 69.3% | +11.8% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 63.5% | 50.5% | +12.9% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 74.5% | 67.1% | +7.3% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 77.6% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 44.4% | 48.6% | -4.3% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Jeddeloh 42.8 / Schoningen 22.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.