Eintracht Frankfurt W vs Wolfsburg W
Frauen-Bundesliga, Germany · 2026-11-06 · 18:30 CET
WWLDW
WLWWWThe score model makes an Eintracht Frankfurt W win the most likely outcome at 42%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 72%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Eintracht Frankfurt W win — 42.3% vs 29.6% implied (+12.7 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Eintracht Frankfurt W 1.93 – 1.77 Wolfsburg W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt W win | 42.3% | 29.6% | +12.7% |
| Draw | 21.8% | 24.2% | -2.5% |
| Wolfsburg W win | 35.9% | 46.1% | -10.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.6% | 64.7% | +6.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50.8% | 45.4% | +5.4% |
| Both teams to score | 71.2% | 66.5% | +4.7% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 83.4% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 53.6% | 45.2% | +8.4% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Eintracht Frankfurt W 32.6 / Wolfsburg W 32.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.