Eintracht Frankfurt W vs Bayern Munich W
Frauen-Bundesliga, Germany · 2026-10-03 · 17:55 CET
DWWWL
WWWWWThe score model made a Bayern Munich W win the most likely outcome at 66%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 66%). It finished 0:1 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Eintracht Frankfurt W 1.06 – 2.34 Bayern Munich W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt W win | 15.4% | 16.9% | -1.5% | ✗ |
| Draw | 18.9% | 20.2% | -1.3% | ✗ |
| Bayern Munich W win | 65.7% | 62.9% | +2.8% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.5% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.9% | 65.9% | +0.0% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.1% | 46.3% | -2.3% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 59.2% | 59.6% | -0.4% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 82.3% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 45.1% | 46.2% | -1.1% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Eintracht Frankfurt W 31.9 / Bayern Munich W 31.9 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.