Kaiserslautern vs Braunschweig
2. Bundesliga, Germany · 2026-09-19 · 13:00 CET
LWDWW
LDLWLThe score model made a Kaiserslautern win the most likely outcome at 56%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 56%). It finished 1:0 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Kaiserslautern 1.87 – 1.07 Braunschweig.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 55.9% | 47.3% | +8.6% | ✓ |
| Draw | 23.0% | 25.0% | -1.9% | ✗ |
| Braunschweig win | 21.1% | 27.8% | -6.7% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.4% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.3% | 60.7% | -4.4% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.9% | 39.8% | -5.9% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 55.8% | 62.4% | -6.6% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 71.6% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 37.7% | 41.4% | -3.7% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Kaiserslautern 43.5 / Braunschweig 43.5 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Kaiserslautern vs Braunschweig in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.