Fleury 91 W vs Strasbourg W
Division 1 Women, France · 2026-11-07 · 18:00 CET
DWLDD
LDWLDThe score model makes a Fleury 91 W win the most likely outcome at 49%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 53%). The data's biggest gap to the market: HT under 1.5 goals — 67.5% vs 62.9% implied (+4.6 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Fleury 91 W 1.68 – 1.13 Strasbourg W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fleury 91 W win | 49.2% | 50.0% | -0.8% |
| Draw | 26.4% | 25.9% | +0.5% |
| Strasbourg W win | 24.4% | 24.1% | +0.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.3% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.4% | 51.9% | +1.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.1% | 31.9% | -0.8% |
| Both teams to score | 56.3% | 54.8% | +1.5% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 68.9% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 32.5% | 37.1% | -4.6% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Fleury 91 W 28.4 / Strasbourg W 25.2 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Fleury 91 W vs Strasbourg W in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.