SJK Akatemia vs PK-35
Ykkonen, Finland · 2026-08-08 · 15:00
The score model makes an PK-35 win the most likely outcome at 48%, leaning under 2.5 (Over 2.5 at 38%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: SJK Akatemia 0.87 – 1.34 PK-35.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJK Akatemia win | 24.6% | 24.3% | +0.3% |
| Draw | 27.6% | 27.5% | +0.0% |
| PK-35 win | 47.8% | 48.2% | -0.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64.5% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38.0% | 48.8% | -10.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18.3% | 28.6% | -10.4% |
| Both teams to score | 42.7% | 52.2% | -9.5% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 57.4% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 19.9% | 33.4% | -13.5% |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: SJK Akatemia 37.2 / PK-35 34.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.