FC Halifax vs Sutton
National League, England · 2026-09-19 · 16:00 CET
LDWWD
DLDLLThe score model made an FC Halifax win the most likely outcome at 52%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 48%). It finished 1:1 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: FC Halifax 1.62 – 0.97 Sutton.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Halifax win | 52.4% | 42.5% | +9.9% | ✗ |
| Draw | 25.1% | 26.4% | -1.3% | ✓ |
| Sutton win | 22.5% | 31.2% | -8.6% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.1% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.8% | 53.9% | -6.0% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.1% | 33.1% | -7.0% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 49.9% | 57.5% | -7.6% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 65.2% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 28.5% | 37.2% | -8.7% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: FC Halifax 58.8 / Sutton 49.2 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open FC Halifax vs Sutton in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.