Silkeborg vs Lyngby
Superliga, Denmark · 2026-11-06 · 19:00 CET
DWDLD
LLDLWThe score model makes a Silkeborg win the most likely outcome at 43%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 59%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Silkeborg win — 43.1% vs 36.4% implied (+6.7 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Silkeborg 1.67 – 1.37 Lyngby.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Silkeborg win | 43.1% | 36.4% | +6.7% |
| Draw | 26.7% | 26.2% | +0.5% |
| Lyngby win | 30.2% | 37.4% | -7.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.2% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.7% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.3% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 62.1% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 73.8% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 38.6% | — | — |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Silkeborg 38.3 / Lyngby 20.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Silkeborg vs Lyngby in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.