Lyngby vs Silkeborg
Superliga, Denmark · 2026-09-18 · 19:00 CET
WDLLD
DDWDLThe score model made a Lyngby win the most likely outcome at 41%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 47%). It finished 0:4 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Lyngby 1.40 – 1.15 Silkeborg.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyngby win | 41.4% | 50.3% | -8.9% | ✗ |
| Draw | 28.8% | 24.1% | +4.7% | ✗ |
| Silkeborg win | 29.8% | 25.5% | +4.3% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.6% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.0% | 61.4% | -14.4% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.4% | 40.8% | -15.3% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 52.8% | 62.0% | -9.2% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 68.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 32.7% | 42.2% | -9.4% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Lyngby 17.5 / Silkeborg 37.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Lyngby vs Silkeborg in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.